Monday, January 18th, 2016

 

TRUMP VS HILLARY

 

Disclaimer; I am NOT predicting that the matchup come November for the presidency will be Donald Trump versus Hillary Clinton. I have said from the outset that Trump will not secure the nomination. Additionally, recent polling and buzz show the bottom falling out of Hillary Clinton. She is descending now at a rate faster than at this time in 2008 when she lost the nomination to Barack Obama. Additionally, multiple media outlets report that the FBI have expanded their investigation into Hillary’s emails. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/14/hillary-clintons-national-lead-is-slipping-faster-in-2016-than-it-did-in-2008/ The Democrats are getting more than a little nervous. Hillary looks completely unelectable if she secures the nomination, and the only alternative is Socialist Bernie Sanders, who is projected to lose 43-47 states in a general election by political professors on both sides of the aisles (using polling data at this point is meaningless…most people are not paying attention and answer based on name and party. Once America heard Sanders’ Socialist views, he would be discarded by everyone over the age of 35 and the almighty “youth vote” never shows up, and even if it does, is less than 20% of the electorate. http://fusion.net/story/41972/fusion-poll-millennials-politics-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush-election-2016/) The Democrats are not-so-secretly meeting to discuss doomsday scenarios and how long they can wait before forcing/recruiting Joe Biden to run to the rescue. http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/how-2016-not-2008-hillary-clinton-its-worse

On the Republican side, polls continue to show Trump leading almost everywhere and recent attacks on Ted Cruz may take their toll enough to launch Trump to victories in the first few states and create a snowball effect that the Republicans are unable to stop. Plus, Trump is becoming a much, much, better candidate, especially during debates. Trump wants you to believe that the Republican Party is nervous about him because he is an “outsider.” Hogwash…the Republican party is worried about trump because they don’t believe he’s electable and because he isn’t a Republican at all.

 

But with that said, let’s imagine, just for a moment, how America would react come Labor Day, when they actually start paying attention to the Presidential race and the debates arrive:

 

How will Conservative Republicans react when Trump boldly rejects free markets and free trade, two conservative principles, by beating the drum on his idea of a tariff on all Chinese products sold in America? Such a move would cripple he middle class and the American economy for months at the very least. http://qz.com/595618/trump-is-caught-lying-about-his-china-tariff-proposal-and-it-would-hurt-his-supporters-the-most/

 

How will Conservative Republicans react when Trump voices his support, as he has over and over again, for eminent domain, the ability of the Government to seize private property not just for national interest, but for reasons development projects by big businessmen? http://qz.com/595618/trump-is-caught-lying-about-his-china-tariff-proposal-and-it-would-hurt-his-supporters-the-most/ Private property rights have been a stalwart of the conservative movement since it began.

 

How will Conservative republicans respond when trump repeats what he’s said over and over again…that he will actually EXPAND Obamacare? He will “cover everyone and the government will pay for it.” That is the literal definition of Universal/socialist healthcare. http://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2015/09/28/donald-trump-on-obamacare-on-60-minutes-everybodys-got-to-be-covered-and-the-governments-gonna-pay-for-it/#2715e4857a0bbf43cc838624

 

Given those undeniable FACTS, how will Conservative Republicans be able to believe Trump when he says he has legitimately changed his mind and “evolved,” on issues which he has only recently claimed to be conservative? Is it reasonable to believe that a man who supports, still, universal health care and eminent domain, while publicly disavowing free trade and free markets with his proposals, has magically converted to conservative beliefs on guns, abortion and exorbitant taxes increases on the job creators of America? http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/07/donald-trump-running-for-president/398345/

 

Perhaps Conservatives and/or Republicans will simply stay home…or perhaps they’ll be so intent on making sure that anyone other than Hillary gets into the White house that they will vote for Trump…only to be devastatingly disappointed by his economic policies and Supreme Court Justice Nominees. The only two things Trump can be counted on is vastly growing and using the American Military, and being as vocally anti-illegal-immigrant as possible. The wall would be built…but come 2019 when America still has 10 million+ Illegals in the country, how will those who envisioned deportation of such feel then?

 

None of it may matter, because amongst people already paying attention, Trump is actually tremendously popular amongst those who identify as Democrats and Independents. http://www.redstate.com/2015/12/31/strongest-trump-supporters-registered-democrat/

 

In other words, if Trump is the Republican Nominee, Democrats win either way. That is some delicious irony.

 

 

Monday, November 27th, 2015

 

ENOUGH IS ENOUGH

 

When it comes to Donald Trump, it has gone from being interesting to entertaining to now terrifying. Trump’s bogus claims of Muslims celebrating in New Jersey on 9/11 were enough for me, but now there’s more. And please, don’t for one minute try to defend his absurdity. There was ONE story of AN alleged report of Muslims celebrating in Jersey City and it was almost instantly shot down…and believe me, there was no political correctness on 9/11. We would thirsty for such a story. To the go beyond that and openly and outwardly mock a disabled journalist as he did two days ago, is outdone only by his absurd denial of what we all saw plainly and clearly with our own eyes. The man is quite literally pathological and a sociopath and those are bad qualities in anyone, let alone a President. Enough.

 

Perhaps what I find most perplexing about the flirtation with Trump (and that’s all it is, as I’ve told you from the beginning) is whether or not he is changing peoples’ perceptions (including mine) of some other candidates or whether the other candidates are actually better choices than we originally thought. Ted Cruz is in a solid second place in many polls, so he is clearly appearing as a viable candidate to many. Next to trump, I agree….chicken and egg anyone?

 

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23RD, 2015

 

IT IS SOMEWHERE BETWEEN COMICAL AND TERRIFYING…

 

I have been arguing for months that the freak show that is Donald Trump will come to an end as people become more serious and actually approach having to vote for him. Conversely, I have argued for years that the American public is as ignorant and arrogant as it ever has been. I have always avoided the position of elitism that demands that Americans have become too stupid to think for themselves, but I am starting to wonder just how stupid we’ve actually become. We are just over two months away now from voting beginning for who the Republican Party will run against the presumptive Democratic Nominee, Hillary Clinton. Despite being so close to becoming real, Trump’s poll numbers not only remain steady, but are growing. In every state, and nationally, mind you.

 

There is very little conservative about Donald Trump, In addition, his inability to articulate coherent policies beyond “I know how to manage,” is stunning. And yet he leads, by a lot. In second place in most polls is former neurosurgeon Ben Carson who is, in a completely different way, equally as embarrassing and frightening as Trump. The comments this week from both candidates vis a vie Muslims, terrorism, and refugees have been like watching 3rd graders try to complete sentences on why they like dogs or cats more. It staggers the mind.

 

And yet they lead, by a lot.

 

I am sticking to my guns and refusing to believe that the politically involved American Public is so far gone that the Republican Party will nominate either Trump or Carson. I am doing so because I have to, for if we are so far across the Rubicon that Trump or Carson are truly viable presidential candidates to a large swath of this nation, then the battle is truly over and we are, without a doubt, never coming back and are on a rocket ship to becoming a second world nation in my lifetime, something I’ve never believed possible.

 

Hillary Clinton is eminently beatable. If the Republicans nominate Trump, Carson or Bush, she will win. Ted Cruz could win the nomination; his ability to beat Hillary is an open question to me because it would be an election between two of the most unlikeable and polarizing political figures in history. I still have faith and I believe that either Marco Rubio or Chris Christie, two people who would destroy Hillary in a landslide, will become the nominee. I have to believe that. Wake me up in April and let me know if I still have a country.

 

 

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9TH, 2015

 

CHRIS CHRISTIE HAS NO CHANCE…

 

…Why? You ask…because I believe he’d make the best president the United States has seen in 20 years, and therefore, he will never get the nomination. Imagine how different (and great) America would be if my 2008 candidate, Rudy Giuliani, would have become president. I am the kiss of death, and if I recognize you as the best person for the job, you have no shot. Sorry, Chris, you would have been an amazing president in my opinion. If a Republican becomes president, you’ll probably be the best Attorney General ever.

 

That leaves me rooting for Marco Rubio and assuming that he, too won’t get the nomination but I still think there’s a chance.

 

Yet another debate is this week…watch it and enjoy the carnage. It’s Hillary versus one of these folks and the Republicans need to try something radical; picking a real candidate. Across the country, whether it be Governors, Senators, or local politicians, the Republican party is destroying the Democrats and yet they can’t win the most important office in the world. WTF?

 

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2ND, 2015

 

That republican debate last week was a clown show inspired by some of the worst media personalities ever to take a stage. But we did learn a few things about a few people. Since we already know Hillary is the democratic nominee (barring an FBI indictment) let’s go over the Republicans who matter in the order that they matter:

 

MARCO RUBIO is the current front-runner who may be peaking too soon, but is also a tremendously gifted politician in a time when rhetoric is far more important than accomplishments and experience. Barack Obama proved that, and Rubio is Hillary’s worst nightmare because he’s young, Hispanic and gifted. She is none of those things, especially gifted.

 

TED CRUZ has been underestimated his entire life and has always won. He is already known to much of America in a very negative way. Though he is also Hispanic and young, he would have a much harder time convincing America he was trustworthy enough to be a better choice than Hillary.

 

CHRIS CHRISTIE, if he can hold on, could be the 2016 version of John McCain, the man whose campaign was declared dead and came back and won the nomination. Christie is the most talented debater of modern times and would destroy Hillary in the debates. He answers questions immediately and forthrightly and says candidly, “this is who I am, take me or leave me.” He is the true, talented, experienced, intelligent Trump. If he can hang on long enough to break through, look out.

 

NIKKI HALEY is the Governor of South Carolina and is not running for president, but should be the Vice-Presidential candidate. She is a strong, gifted, successful female president who also happens to be of Indian ancestry. She checks every box for people who vote based on identities. Much of who the VP is will depend on how we get to the nominee, but Haley should be at the top of everyone’s short list. She blunts Hillary in every way.

 

JEB BUSH is completely done and looks more and more pathetic every day he says otherwise. His donors are running to Rubio and, I hope, looking at Christie as well. CARLY FIORINA has botched her time in the limelight by overly focusing on Planned Parenthood, a topic no American actually cares about no matter how many times she and other Republicans say otherwise. Her case that she is the best match against Hillary if counter-intuitive since having two women run for the presidency simply means that the reams of people who have been indoctrinated to believe that Hillary is everything she isn’t, will simply choose Hillary. JOHN KASICH has performed miserably in debates and comes across petulant, his pathway has closed. The longer DONALD TRUMP hangs around, the more exposed as a fraud he becomes. He simply has no business discussing issues with Rubio, Cruz and others who are genuinely educated and prepared. Ditto BEN CARSON, who also makes outlandish statements and then triples-down on those statements despite their insanity. I told you from the beginning Trump and Carson would fade, and they will. Still. No one else matters nor did they ever, other than that one guy who is going to shock us all come February. Someone will finish better in Iowa or New Hampshire than anyone expected and will get a huge boost. It always happens, although that person rarely goes on to win the nomination.

 

MONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2015

 

IT’S HILLARY VERSUS….

 

Unless the FBI indicts Hillary Clinton for the email/Bengahzi issue, Hillary Clinton, will, without a doubt, be the Democratic Nominee for President. Those of you still clinging to a Bernie Sanders candidacy seriously need to grow up. It will not happen under any circumstance. Should Hillary be indicted, Biden or Elizabeth Warren will swoop in and become the nominee. Sorry, life is hard and the truth hurts. For the record, Sanders probably will win Iowa and New Hampshire and there will be delusional hysteria for a few weeks before Clinton begins sweeping the south and making Sanders a punchline.

 

The issue now is who the Republicans will run against her in a year when the Republicans should waltz to the White House. America rarely elects the same party to a third time in the White House and Hillary is a miserably bad candidate whose unlike-ability will destroy her, unless the Republicans find a way to, yet again, screw up their shot at the white house. Chris Christie and/or John Kasich would destroy Hillary which means they have no shot getting the nomination because the Republican party is moronic. This is the party that could have nominated Rudy Giuliani in 2008; a man who would have defeated Barack Obama and altered history is dramatic ways. It is unlikely, though possible, that the Republicans will go full Kamikaze and actually nominate Trump or Carson, a true political death wish. The most likely scenario is that the republican nominee will be one of a very few people; Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz or, God forbid, Jeb Bush. Bush’s campaign is imploding but he still has a lot of money so anything is possible. In the end, in my opinion, it’s a horse race between Rubio and Cruz with the small possibility of someone like Christie still emerging, which is my wet dream.

 

 

MONDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2015

 

Consider this: HILLARY VERSUS TED CRUZ?

 

Imagine just for a moment a presidential campaign between two of the most unlikable and untrustworthy people in the public eye; it could very well happen. From the beginning, I have told you not to look past Ted Cruz, and I’ve also reported that Hillary is perhaps the worst candidate of modern times, which she has already lived up to. Imagine America having to choose between the potential first woman President, who is completely unlikable and untrustworthy or the first Hispanic American President who is also a freshman senator from Texas who is as far right as they get and makes most people feel like he’s trying to sell them a car or ask them to donate to his church. It COULD happen.

 

On the Republican side, I stand by my assertion that neither Trump nor Carson will be the nominee. Fiorina has botched her chance, in my opinion, as being the true “outsider,” candidate by fatefully wasting her debate performance on focusing on Planned Parenthood, an issue no American cares about according to all polling on all sides. Given that, who do the Republicans choose? Marco Rubio scares the democrats the most because he is young, Hispanic and conservative, but not right wing. He’s a good campaigner who makes people feel patriotic, comfortable and safe, but whether or not he can break through the primary field remains in question. I still believe he’ll be standing at the end. Chris Christie is the candidate that scares the Democrats second most because he is Donald Trump with intelligence and experience, but he has gained no traction. Whether or not he can survive long enough to make a comeback is questionable. I assume neither Rubio nor Christie will actually win the nomination because I like both of them and my candidates never get chosen. Cruz, meanwhile, has amassed a ton of money, spent almost none, and is slowly yet steadily growing in the polls. He is perfectly positioned to leap to the lead when Trump and Carson fade, which THEY WILL.

 

On the Democratic side, I still believe that Joe Biden wants to be president, as he has for 30 years, and I still believe that if he gets in, the race changes. Keep in mind that Hillary remains under and FBI investigation and remains a horrendously bad candidate that scares the hell out of Democratic Party Operatives. It does look, however, as though Hillary is now the leader for the nomination. She has, in my opinion, NO CHANCE of becoming president. Unless the Republicans put the worst possible person against her. Is that Cruz? No, but he’s close…  

 

 

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14, 2015

 

Snapshot reaction to the first democratic debate: A total waste of time as 2 people you’ve heard of sparred over who could lurch further and further left and three other guys watched. What’s said at primary debates is almost always as meaningless as what’s said in the general election because you never really know who’s lying when. With that said, we did get reminded that the only thing Hillary does well in politics is debate; if she somehow slogs through this process and gets the nomination, God forbid she be perched on a stage next to Jeb Bush, which I have already predicted would be the true end of days anyways for this nation. Hillary won the debate, Sanders and his supporters think he won but there aren’t enough of them, and the three stoges should all drop out of the race by tomorrow, paving the way for Vice-President Joe Biden to give Democrats some sort of actual choice.

 

As for the Republicans, as confusing as the race is at times, This is NOT rocket surgery people….let’s give you some quick updates as follows:

 

Carly Fiorina has lost 50% of her support since her exceptional performance at last month’s most recent Republican debate…WHY? Because she has placed her entire focus in the last many weeks on the Planned Parenthood scandal that almost literally no one in America cares about. Multiple conservative websites have acknowledged that survey after survey shows that even Americans familiar with the videos charging Planned Parenthood with barbaric behavior simply do not care. Fiorina has made a classic rookie mistake by focusing on an emotional issue that she believes in and few others do. She can still recover, but she better wise up.

 

Donald Trump acknowledged Tuesday October 13 to Neil Cavuto on Fox News exactly what I told you from the beginning; his tax rate of 0% does NOTHING to help the people given the rate since they alredy pay no federal income tax. In the face of facts, Trump HAD to admit that, as he said “those people don’t pay those taxes anyways….but we’ll eliminate the paperwork.” YouTube it, deniers, facts are facts. Trump remains on the wrong side of the party on trade, health care and, most recently, eminent domain. He will NOT be the candidate. Still.

 

Ben Carson is a brilliant man who is a terrible candidate and will fade quickly as winter arrives.

 

In the end, America will revert to type. The question remains which of the real candidates will live long enough to seize the nomination. If Jeb Bush somehow gets it, be prepared for little to change in America regardless of who wins in November 2016 (most likely Joe Biden in that scenario). I now believe that Chris Christie has no chance of becoming the nominee because I am certain he’s the best candidate, and that person never wins. Watch out for Ted Cruz who is surging by all matrix.